{"slug":"alirezarezvani-commercial-forecaster","source_name":"alirezarezvani/commercial-forecaster","name":"Alirezarezvani/Commercial Forecaster","description":"Use when building a quarterly bookings forecast, ARR projection, pipeline forecast, NRR projection, or commit/best-case/pipe-only board number — especially when the CRO needs to walk the board through funnel math + cohort ARR + per-stage conversion assumptions without the theatre of a single undefended number. Decomposes pipeline into commit, best-case, and pipe-only tiers; projects cohort-level NRR/GRR to surface leaky cohorts before they show up in the consolidated number; scores per-stage fun","version":1,"lift":{"pass_rate_delta_pts":50,"pass_rate_pct":95.5,"total_cases":22,"passed_cases":21,"tokens_delta_pct":98,"turns_delta_pct":0,"verdict":"mixed","benchmark_model":"gemini-3.6-flash","grading_method":"judged","completed_at":"2026-08-04T22:05:25.717519+00:00"},"skill_score":0.9545,"benchmark_models":[{"model":"gemini-3.6-flash","headline":true,"delta_pts":50,"with_pass_pct":95.5,"without_pass_pct":45.5,"tokens_delta_pct":98,"turns_delta_pct":0,"total_cases":22,"cases_aggregated":21,"verdict":"mixed","never_hurt":false,"completed_at":"2026-08-04T22:05:25.717519+00:00","run_id":"03c2ce1d-ff58-44c1-af58-7f14b2970cad","version_number":1,"is_latest_version":true,"gate":null}],"trust":{"skill_safety":"passed","safety_status":"clean","intent_verdict":"safe","content_status":"clean","indexable":true},"license":"MIT","install_count":0,"manifest_hash":"c584a40e428d97c7fc8ebbf7bcc7913837e8a3be65456b50ffbb75b9654a3ea1","raw_url":"https://app.decimal.ai/s/alirezarezvani-commercial-forecaster/SKILL.md","scorecard_url":"https://app.decimal.ai/skills/alirezarezvani-commercial-forecaster"}