{"slug":"asgard-ai-platform-algo-forecast-exponential","source_name":"asgard-ai-platform/algo-forecast-exponential","name":"Asgard AI Platform/Algo Forecast Exponential","description":"Apply exponential smoothing methods for time series forecasting with weighted moving averages. Use this skill when the user needs simple, robust forecasts, implement Holt-Winters for seasonal data, or build lightweight forecasting without complex models — even if they say 'simple forecast', 'moving average prediction', or 'smoothing method'.","version":1,"lift":{"pass_rate_delta_pts":12.5,"pass_rate_pct":87.5,"total_cases":24,"passed_cases":21,"tokens_delta_pct":24.4,"turns_delta_pct":0,"verdict":"mixed","benchmark_model":"gemini-3.6-flash","grading_method":"judged","completed_at":"2026-08-27T13:29:10.205597+00:00"},"skill_score":0.875,"benchmark_models":[{"model":"gemini-3.6-flash","headline":true,"delta_pts":12.5,"with_pass_pct":87.5,"without_pass_pct":75,"tokens_delta_pct":24.4,"turns_delta_pct":0,"total_cases":24,"cases_aggregated":24,"verdict":"mixed","never_hurt":true,"completed_at":"2026-08-27T13:29:10.205597+00:00","run_id":"12728c26-5345-48c9-a51e-a10327b51e15","latest_attempt":{"id":"12728c26-5345-48c9-a51e-a10327b51e15","runner_model":"gemini-3.6-flash","overall_verdict":"mixed","completed_at":"2026-08-27T13:29:10.205597+00:00","gate":null},"version_number":1,"is_latest_version":true,"gate":null}],"trust":{"skill_safety":"passed","safety_status":"clean","intent_verdict":"safe","content_status":"clean","indexable":true},"license":"MIT","install_count":0,"total_uses":0,"total_users":0,"manifest_hash":"0f4d40b85fc0635844b424b32a40b44d00df9b60a318c3753b63da85394b3bb6","install_name":"asgard-ai-platform-algo-forecast-exponential","version_id":"66a1c269-2f99-4a37-9e20-bf14532aa035","body_sha256":"0f4d40b85fc0635844b424b32a40b44d00df9b60a318c3753b63da85394b3bb6","render_hash":"e871a804384d5ade67f325eb294e82770278692660a5bed613b8ab8db4d7835b","raw_url":"https://app.decimal.ai/s/asgard-ai-platform-algo-forecast-exponential/SKILL.md","scorecard_url":"https://app.decimal.ai/skills/asgard-ai-platform-algo-forecast-exponential"}