{"slug":"davila7-forecast-accuracy-review","source_name":"davila7/forecast-accuracy-review","name":"Davila7/Forecast Accuracy Review","description":"Evaluate demand-forecast quality honestly - WMAPE, bias and Forecast Value Added against a naive benchmark over a rolling-origin backtest. Use when the user mentions forecast accuracy, MAPE, demand planning performance, tahmin doğruluğu, talep tahmini, or asks whether a forecasting process or tool is worth it. Differentiator - judges the process (value added vs doing nothing), not just the model.","version":1,"lift":{"pass_rate_delta_pts":31.82,"pass_rate_pct":81.8,"total_cases":22,"passed_cases":18,"tokens_delta_pct":12.3,"turns_delta_pct":0,"verdict":"mixed","benchmark_model":"gemini-3.6-flash","grading_method":"judged","completed_at":"2026-08-12T21:13:01.914161+00:00"},"skill_score":null,"benchmark_models":[{"model":"gemini-3.6-flash","headline":true,"delta_pts":31.82,"with_pass_pct":81.8,"without_pass_pct":50,"tokens_delta_pct":12.3,"turns_delta_pct":0,"total_cases":22,"cases_aggregated":22,"verdict":"mixed","never_hurt":false,"completed_at":"2026-08-12T21:13:01.914161+00:00","run_id":"fd2b4899-1ad4-4210-8419-5660d7144ef6","version_number":1,"is_latest_version":true,"gate":null}],"trust":{"skill_safety":"passed","safety_status":"clean","intent_verdict":"safe","content_status":"clean","indexable":true},"license":"MIT","install_count":0,"manifest_hash":"68c227546e42abe6fb0f72196c016054d623f57d64cd11f3718ba410cc07be2f","raw_url":"https://app.decimal.ai/s/davila7-forecast-accuracy-review/SKILL.md","scorecard_url":"https://app.decimal.ai/skills/davila7-forecast-accuracy-review"}