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Reverse DCF valuation, implied growth rate, market expectations analysis, reverse discounted cash flow, implied valuation assumptions, market-implied projections, DCF sanity check
Passed 5 of 11 test cases with the skill, and 3 of 11 without it.
and 11 more in the full report
8 fixed3 passed either way8 still failing4 broke
Tokens, turns and time describe resource use, not a dollar price.
One of 7 test cases the skill fixed. Same model, same prompt, with and without the skill.
After solving backward for a biotech firm's stock price, the calculated implied revenue growth rate comes out to +65% annually over the forecast period. What validation gate rule triggers?
| Checked | Without skill | With skill |
|---|---|---|
| Flags that the implied growth rate exceeds the maximum plausible limit of 50%. | Missed | Passed |
| Warns that implied growth is outside the economically plausible range. | Passed | Passed |
The instructions your model reads when the skill loads.
Starts from the current stock price and solves backward: "What growth rate, margin, or WACC does the market currently price in?" Answers: "Is the market too optimistic or too pessimistic about {ticker}?" This is a sanity-check tool used by professional analysts to test whether consensus assumptions are already reflected in the stock price.
Run the canonical pre-flight sequence — MCP health probe, ticker resolution, workspace style.md override, memory load, and coverage check. See contracts/preflight.md.
Include the X-Agentii-Trace header on every tool call per contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md.
| Parameter | Default | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| projection_years | 5 | Explicit forecast period |
| solve_for | growth_rate | growth_rate, terminal_margin, or wacc |
| terminal_growth | 2.5% | Long-term GDP-like growth rate |
| compare_to | consensus | Compare implied to consensus estimates |
structured_only — Reverse DCF uses current price + XBRL financials + consensus estimates.
See contracts/retrieval.md for the canonical decision tree; skill-specific retrieval detail is in references/methodology.md.
test cases passed, vs 3 / 11 without
More skills from the same source and nearby in the registry, with their headline benchmark lift.