SMC Chart Analysis Skill

AI-powered Smart Money Concepts analysis with actionable trade setups.

How This Skill Works

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  1. FETCH DATA                                              │
│     Call web app API: localhost:3001/api/smc-analyze        │
│     → Returns: structure, liquidity, FVGs, sweeps           │
└─────────────────────────┬───────────────────────────────────┘
                          │
                          ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  2. AI INTERPRETATION (Claude)                              │
│     Analyze the mechanical data using ICT methodology       │
│     → Determine bias, identify setups, assess confluence    │
└─────────────────────────┬───────────────────────────────────┘
                          │
                          ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│  3. TRADE SETUP OUTPUT                                      │
│     • Direction (long/short)                                │
│     • Entry zone with reasoning                             │
│     • Stop loss with reasoning                              │
│     • Targets with R:R ratios                               │
│     • Setup grade (A+/A/B/C)                                │
│     • Narrative explaining the trade thesis                 │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Quick Start

When a user asks to analyze a market (e.g., "analyze BTC", "what's the setup on ETH"):

Step 1: Fetch Mechanical Data

bash
curl "http://localhost:3001/api/smc-analyze?symbol=BTC/USDT&timeframe=1h&style=intraday"

Or for multiple timeframes:

bash
# HTF (4H) for bias
curl "http://localhost:3001/api/smc-analyze?symbol=BTC/USDT&timeframe=4h&style=swing"

# LTF (15m) for entry
curl "http://localhost:3001/api/smc-analyze?symbol=BTC/USDT&timeframe=15m&style=scalp"

Step 2: Interpret with AI

Take the mechanical data and provide AI-powered analysis following the ICT methodology:

1. Determine HTF Bias

• Is price in premium or discount?
• Where is major liquidity (BSL/SSL)?
• What is the trend direction?

1. Identify Entry POI

• Unmitigated FVGs in direction of bias
• Recent ChoCH or BOS confirmation
• Liquidity sweeps that occurred

1. Construct Trade Setup

• Entry: At FVG/OB in discount (for longs) or premium (for shorts)
• Stop: Below/above the liquidity sweep
• Target: Opposite liquidity pool

1. Grade the Setup

• A+: All confluence factors, in killzone, clear bias
• A: Most factors aligned, minor concerns
• B: Decent setup, missing some confluence
• C: Skip - wait for better setup

Step 3: Present to User

Format the response as:

## [SYMBOL] SMC Analysis

### Bias: [BULLISH/BEARISH]
[Explain why based on structure, premium/discount zone, and liquidity]

### Current Setup: [GRADE]

**Direction:** [LONG/SHORT]

**Entry Zone:** $XX,XXX - $XX,XXX
- Reasoning: [Why this zone - FVG? OB? Sweep level?]

**Stop Loss:** $XX,XXX
- Reasoning: [Below sweep low / Above sweep high]
- Risk: X.X%

**Targets:**
| Target | Price | R:R | Reasoning |
|--------|-------|-----|-----------|
| TP1 | $XX,XXX | 1:2 | [Nearest liquidity] |
| TP2 | $XX,XXX | 1:3 | [Major BSL/SSL] |
| TP3 | $XX,XXX | 1:5 | [HTF liquidity] |

### Confluence Factors
- [ ] HTF bias aligned
- [ ] Price in discount/premium
- [ ] Recent sweep occurred
- [ ] ChoCH confirmed
- [ ] FVG/OB present at entry
- [ ] In killzone (if applicable)

### Warnings
- [Any concerns about the setup]

### Narrative
[2-3 sentence explanation of the trade thesis in plain English]

---
*This is analysis, not financial advice. Always manage risk.*

Web App Integration

The web app at localhost:3001 provides:

• Visual chart with overlays (BSL, SSL, EQ, FVGs)
• Symbol selector (BTC, ETH, SOL)
• Timeframe buttons (1m to 1W)
• "Analyze SMC" button for mechanical data

To start the web app:

bash
cd /Users/abuusama/projects/bots/signals && bun dev

The web app shows the mechanical data. This skill provides the AI interpretation.

API Reference

GET /api/smc-analyze

Parameters: | Param | Default | Options | |-------|---------|---------| | symbol | BTC/USDT | BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT, SOL/USDT | | timeframe | 1h | 1m, 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h, 1d, 1w | | style | intraday | scalp, intraday, swing, position |

Response:

json
{
  "symbol": "BTC/USDT",
  "timeframe": "1h",
  "style": "intraday",
  "currentPrice": 88338.29,
  "structure": {
    "bias": "BULLISH",
    "priceZone": "PREMIUM",
    "range": { "high": 89399.97, "low": 84450.01 }
  },
  "liquidity": {
    "bsl": [{ "price": 92754.00, "strength": "strong" }],
    "ssl": [{ "price": 84450.01, "strength": "strong" }]
  },
  "inefficiencies": {
    "fvgs": [{ "type": "bull", "high": 88049.89, "low": 87946.96 }]
  },
  "orderFlow": {
    "recentSwings": [...],
    "structureBreaks": [{ "type": "CHOCH", "direction": "up", "price": 88339.27 }]
  },
  "atr": 132.75
}

ICT Methodology Reference

Premium/Discount Zones

• Premium: Above equilibrium (50% of range) - look for shorts
• Discount: Below equilibrium - look for longs

Liquidity Levels

• BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): Swing highs where stops rest - target for longs
• SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Swing lows where stops rest - target for shorts

Entry Triggers

• BOS (Break of Structure): Continuation signal
• ChoCH (Change of Character): Reversal signal
• Sweep: Liquidity grab before reversal

Killzones (EST)

| Session | Time | Best For | |---------|------|----------| | London Open | 02:00-05:00 | Manipulation moves | | NY AM | 07:00-10:00 | Highest probability | | London Close | 10:00-12:00 | Reversal setups |

Example Analysis

User: "analyze BTC"

1. Fetch data:

bash
curl "http://localhost:3001/api/smc-analyze?symbol=BTC/USDT&timeframe=1h"

1. Interpret the response and provide:

## BTC/USDT SMC Analysis

### Bias: BULLISH
Price is currently at $88,338 in the PREMIUM zone of the 1H range ($84,450 - $89,399).
However, we just had a CHOCH to the upside at $88,339, suggesting bullish continuation
despite being in premium.

### Current Setup: B+

**Direction:** LONG (on pullback)

**Entry Zone:** $87,946 - $88,049
- Reasoning: Unfilled bullish FVG from recent impulse move

**Stop Loss:** $87,500
- Reasoning: Below the recent BOS level at $87,514
- Risk: 0.95%

**Targets:**
| Target | Price | R:R | Reasoning |
|--------|-------|-----|-----------|
| TP1 | $89,400 | 1:1.7 | Range high / BSL |
| TP2 | $90,634 | 1:3.2 | Next BSL level |
| TP3 | $92,754 | 1:5.7 | Major BSL |

### Confluence Factors
- [x] ChoCH confirmed bullish
- [x] FVG present at entry zone
- [ ] Not in killzone currently
- [ ] Price in premium (slight concern)

### Warnings
- Price is in premium zone - ideal longs are from discount
- Consider waiting for deeper pullback to $87,500 area

### Narrative
BTC showed a change of character to the upside, breaking recent structure.
The setup suggests buying a pullback into the unfilled FVG around $88,000,
with stops below recent structure and targets at the BSL levels above.

Important Notes

• Never guarantee outcomes - present as "the analysis suggests" not "this will happen"
• Always include risk warnings - trading involves risk of loss
• Grade setups honestly - don't oversell B/C setups as A+ setups
• Mention timing - note if we're in a killzone or not