Topic Selection & Venue Fit (aeja-topic-selection)

When to trigger

• A project is empirically promising but you are unsure it is "AEJ: Applied-shaped"
• The question reads like a policy evaluation, a field-specialist note, or a top-general-interest swing — and you need to place it
• Several possible framings of the same dataset exist and you must pick the one that lands here
• Reviewers (or a co-author) say "this is fine but why this journal?"

The AEJ: Applied fit test

AEJ: Applied wants empirical applied microeconomics where a credible causal research design answers a substantive economic question of broad applied-micro interest — above a pure field journal but more specialized than AER. Use this decision table to place the project.

| Signal in your project | Likely fit | |------------------------|-----------| | Clean identification + a question labor/dev/health/ed/public economists all care about | AEJ: Applied (core) | | Same design but the contribution is mainly a policy verdict / program ROI framing | lean AEJ: Economic Policy | | Genuinely general-interest, agenda-setting, methodologically ambitious, long | aim AER first | | Contribution is field-internal (only sub-field specialists will cite it) | a field journal (JHE / JOLE / JDE) | | New estimator with a toy application | Econometrica / REStud / JoE, not AEJ: Applied |

AEJ: Applied is empirical-first: theory appears to interpret and discipline the estimate, not to lead. A descriptive or measurement paper can fit if the question is sharp and the measurement is the contribution — but it must not overclaim causality.

Sharpening the question (do this before writing anything)

1. One-sentence question with the causal object named: "What is the effect of X on Y for population P, identified by design D?"
2. Why broad applied-micro readers care — name two subfields beyond your own that should cite it.
3. What the headline number will be (a magnitude with units, even if approximate) — if you cannot imagine the sentence "we find X raises Y by ___," the question is not yet AEJ: Applied-shaped.
4. The credible-design seed — which design (RCT / DID / RD / IV / shift-share) makes the estimate believable; if none, the topic is not ready (route to aeja-identification).

Checklist

• ] One-sentence causal (or sharply descriptive) question with a named estimand
• ] Venue placed against the table above; reason it is AEJ: Applied and not AER / AEJ: Policy / a field journal written in one line
• ] Two subfields beyond your own that will cite it, named
• ] An imaginable headline sentence with a magnitude and units
• ] A candidate research design that could make the estimate credible
• ] JEL codes drafted (required at submission) reflecting the cross-field appeal

Anti-patterns

• A field-internal contribution dressed up as general — desk-reject risk for "fit"
• A pure policy-ROI framing that reads as AEJ: Economic Policy
• An ambitious agenda paper that is really an AER swing sent to AEJ: Applied as a hedge (or vice versa)
• "Interesting dataset, no question" — data-availability is not a contribution
• Implying causality from a design that cannot support it just to clear the bar

Worked vignette (illustrative)

A researcher has linked administrative tax and education records for one country and wants to "study inequality." That is a dataset, not a question. Working through the fit test: the cleanest variation in the data is a school-finance reform that changed per-pupil spending at a sharp formula threshold — an RD. The question becomes "what is the effect of marginal school spending on adult earnings, identified by the funding-formula discontinuity?" Two subfields beyond education (labor and public) will cite it; the imaginable headline is "a $1,000 increase in per-pupil spending raises adult earnings by ~___%." Now it is AEJ: Applied-shaped — and clearly not an AER agenda paper or an AEJ: Policy program verdict.

Sibling-placement quick test

• Would a non-specialist applied economist find the question interesting, not just the finding? → AEJ: Applied
• Is the deliverable a policy recommendation / cost-benefit verdict? → lean AEJ: Economic Policy
• Is the ambition field-defining and the design unusually novel? → try AER first
• Will only sub-field specialists ever cite it? → a field journal

Output format

【Question】one sentence, estimand + population named
【Venue verdict】AEJ: Applied because [not AER: ___] [not AEJ: Policy: ___] [not field: ___]
【Cross-field appeal】subfields that will cite: [..., ...]
【Headline (anticipated)】"X raises/lowers Y by ~___ (units)"
【Design seed】RCT / DID / RD / IV / shift-share / descriptive
【JEL draft】[codes]
【Next step】aeja-literature-positioning