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根据研究者提供的**研究计划书(Research Proposal)**执行基于中国制度环境的公司金融类实证研究全流程。**启动后第一件事:根据计划书的主题、识别策略、贡献边际与样本范围,从中国-context 英文顶级期刊池(JF/JFE/RFS/JFQA/MS/JCF/JBF/JAR/JAE/TAR/CAR/JIBS/China Economic Review/PBFJ 等 25+ 期刊)中推荐 5 本最匹配的目标期刊([J1]–[J5]),等待研究者明确选定一本;该期刊决定 main.tex 的 bibliographystyle、Section 骨架、Introduction 风格与表注规范**。然后用 Python 完成数据清洗、描述性统计、基准回归、内生性检验(IV/2SLS、DML)、平行趋势、异质性、机制、稳健性检验与图表绘制。LaTeX 表格和图像严格遵循 template/ 示例格式,研究逻辑与排版严格遵循 rule/ 下的《通用实证研究逻辑与规范总结》与《回归表写作规范总结》。数据集与政策集从 asset/ 中按计划书中的关键词检索。**当计划书预期的实证结果无法
Passed 17 of 22 test cases with the skill, and 6 of 22 without it.
and 18 more in the full report
12 fixed5 passed either way4 still failing1 broke
Tokens, turns and time describe resource use, not a dollar price.
One of 12 test cases the skill fixed. Same model, same prompt, with and without the skill.
During the execution of an empirical corporate finance pipeline, the baseline regression failed to achieve statistical significance on the primary treatment variable, forcing a switch to an alternative variable measure (Plan-B B1). What file must be updated to track this choice and what details must be logged?
| Checked | Without skill | With skill |
|---|---|---|
| The response specifies logging the change in DECISION_LOG.md. | Passed | Passed |
| The response requires recording the expected result, observed test statistic, triggered rule, chosen branch, and re-test result in the log entry. | Missed | Passed |
The instructions your model reads when the skill loads.
本 skill 指导基于中国制度环境的公司金融类实证研究的完整流程。覆盖:
本 skill 不替代研究者的研究设计判断,而是把每一环节的标准流程、代码骨架、表格/图像模板提供给研究者,保证产出质量达到中国-context 英文顶级期刊(JF、JFE、RFS、JFQA、RCFS、JCF、JBF;JAR、JAE、TAR、CAR、RAST;MS、SMJ、JIBS;AER、QJE、JPubE、JEEM;以及 China Economic Review、Pacific-Basin Finance Journal、Emerging Markets Review、China Journal of Accounting Research 等 China-friendly 主流刊)的写作与方法论要求。目标期刊在启动后第二步即由 skill 推荐 + 研究者锁定(见 §3.4),后续 main.tex 的 bibliographystyle、Section 骨架、Introduction 风格、表注规范均以此为准。
China-CF-study/ ← working directory
├── asset/ ← 中国常见数据集与政策集索引(研究者提供检索关键词)
│ ├── macrodatas_list.csv # 马克数据网数据集清单(宏观/上市公司/城市层)
│ ├── ppmandata_trade_list.csv # 皮皮慢数据(政策/贸易/金融等)清单
│ ├── 全网首发计量方法+政策数据库.pdf # 原始政策冲击数据库 PDF(975 页,含 800+ 实证研究的方法-政策详尽案例)
│ ├── 计量方法+政策数据库.md # ★ 上面 PDF 的 50 页 markdown 精简版(按"方法 × 政策 × 数据"三维交叉重组;首选入口)
│ └── MCP.docx # MCP 服务器清单(如 CSMAR-MCP),含安装网址
├── rule/ ← 强制性写作与方法论规范(AI 必须逐项遵循)
│ ├── 通用实证研究逻辑与规范总结.docx
│ └── 回归表写作规范总结.docx
├── template/ ← LaTeX 表格与图片模板(格式模仿对象)
│ ├── main.tex # ★ 正文 .tex 模板——新项目 main.tex 的 Preamble / References / Appendix 块均以此为底
│ ├── sum_stat.tex # 描述性统计
│ ├── variables.tex # 变量定义
│ ├── baseline.tex # 基准回归(渐进式加控制 + 渐进式加 FE)
│ ├── addctr.tex # 加入附加控制变量
│ ├── measures.tex # 替换因变量度量
│ ├── specification.tex # 高维交互固定效应
│ ├── iv.tex # 2SLS 工具变量
│ ├── psm_ddml.tex # PSM + DML(Panel A / Panel B)
│ ├── bunching-did.tex # Bunching-DID
│ ├── channel1.tex, channel2.tex, channel3.tex # 机制分析(按渠道分组)
│ ├── heterogeneity1.tex, heterogeneity2.tex, heterogeneity3.tex # 异质性(bdiff)
test cases passed, vs 6 / 22 without
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