Loading skill
Install any skill in seconds. Free to start, no credit card required.
Get Started Free →Real vs lottery call separation for options P/C ratio analysis — prevents signal inversion from deep OTM noise
.claude/skills/options-flow-analyzer/SKILL.md| Test case | Without → With | Effect | Δ tokens | Δ turns |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| case-12 | ✗→✓ | ▲ Improved | — | — |
| case-16 | ✗→✓ | ▲ Improved | — | — |
| case-18 | ✗→✓ | ▲ Improved | — | — |
| case-19 | ✗→✓ | ▲ Improved | — | — |
| case-21 | ✗→✓ | ▲ Improved | — | — |
Analyze options chain data with real vs lottery call separation — the key insight that prevents P/C ratio misinterpretation. Uses Polygon.io API.
Standard P/C ratio analysis is misleading. A P/C of 0.35 looks "extremely bullish" but may be 84% lottery calls ($0.01-$0.09 OTM options).
This skill separates:
For each ticker:
Options Flow Summary — 2026-05-13
HOLDINGS:
CEG $299.69 | Raw P/C: 1.06 | Lottery: 61% | Adj P/C: 2.72 BEARISH (was neutral raw)
IREN $55.15 | Raw P/C: 0.83 | Lottery: 34% | Adj P/C: 0.55 BULLISH
KTOS $56.99 | Raw P/C: 0.53 | Lottery: 28% | Adj P/C: 0.38 EXTREME BULLISH
RXRX $3.26 | Raw P/C: 0.38 | Lottery: 84% | Adj P/C: 2.37 BEARISH (was extreme bullish raw)
SECTORS:
XLI | Raw P/C: 5.32 | Lottery: 8% | Adj P/C: 4.89 INSTITUTIONAL HEDGE
ANOMALIES:
XLI: P/C 5.32 vs 30-day baseline 0.87 — 4.5 std deviations above normal
RXRX: 84% lottery calls — raw P/C signal completely inverted after filteringAnalyze options flow for my watchlist:
Holdings: CEG, IREN, KTOS, RXRX, TEM
Sectors: SPY, QQQ, XLI, XLK
Separate real vs lottery calls (threshold: premium < $0.10, delta < 0.05).
Flag anomalies vs 30-day baseline.This real/lottery separation was discovered during live portfolio management when RXRX showed P/C 0.35 (looks extremely bullish) but was actually 84% lottery calls at $0.01-$0.09. The "bullish signal" was noise. This skill prevents that mistake.
Free: Basic P/C ratio for 3 tickers Full bundle — $29 one-time: Real/lottery separation + anomaly detection + per-expiry + unlimited tickers → https://jaehyunpark.gumroad.com/l/tcyahy
Built from a real trading mistake that cost money. The real/lottery discovery is documented and battle-tested across 17 tickers over 2+ months.
| Case | Status | Duration (ms) | Turns | Tokens | Tool calls | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Without | With | Δ | Without | With | Δ | Without | With | Δ | Without | With | Δ | ||
case-17 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-12 | fail→pass | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-16 | fail→pass | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-10 | pass→pass | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-02 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-03 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-18 | fail→pass | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-19 | fail→pass | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-08 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-07 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-20 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-15 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-09 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-21 | fail→pass | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-14 | pass→pass | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-04 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-13 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-01 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-05 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-06 | fail→pass | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-11 | pass→pass | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
case-22 | fail→fail | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
DecimalAI ran this skill against gemini-3.6-flash twice over the same eval suite — once with the skill loaded and once without — and compared the two runs case by case. 22 cases were attempted, and 18 counted toward the lift figure. The other 4 produced results that are not comparable between the two arms, so they are excluded from the headline rather than averaged into it. The headline lift of +27 percentage points is the difference between those two pass rates over the 18 comparable cases.
The per-case answers from this run were removed by the retention sweep, so the case table below shows the verdicts without the text either arm produced. The counts above were recorded at the time and are unaffected. Answers are now kept for 180 days.
Other measured skills in the registry, with their headline benchmark lift.