Interpret macroeconomic indicators including GDP, inflation, unemployment, interest rates, and exchange rates to assess economic health and predict trends.
SkillScore83Maintained
Automatic
◆Finance & Accounting pack
Last verified 8/27/2026
What it changes
Passed 19 of 23 test cases with the skill, and 14 of 23 without it.
Without skill61%
With skill83%
Checks it passed that the model alone missed
Classifies CPI as a coincident indicator
Labels Policy Rate type column with a dash
Classifies unemployment rate as a lagging indicator
and 4 more in the full report
6 fixed13 passed either way3 still failing1 broke
Pass-rate lift
+22 pp
Tokens
+24%
Agent turns
0%
Response time
-20%
Model gemini-3.6-flashMeasured 8/27/2026v119 of 23 cases passed with skill
Tokens, turns and time describe resource use, not a dollar price.
See it in action
One of 6 test cases the skill fixed. Same model, same prompt, with and without the skill.
1 of 6
Prompt
Draft a Macroeconomic Assessment table for Singapore's economy including GDP growth (2.5%), CPI inflation (1.8%), Unemployment (2.0%), Policy Rate (3.25%), PMI (51.2), and SGD/USD exchange rate (1.34). Format the summary table.
What was checked, without and with the skill
Checked
Without skill
With skill
Formats table header as Indicator, Current, Previous, Trend, Type
Missed
Passed
Labels Policy Rate type column with a dash
Missed
Passed
case-16 · gemini-3.6-flash · 8/27/2026 · answers are capped and redacted
What's inside
The instructions your model reads when the skill loads.
SKILL.md127 lines2 files
Macroeconomic Indicators
Overview
Macroeconomic indicators measure aggregate economic performance. They divide into leading (predict future), coincident (reflect current), and lagging (confirm past) indicators. Understanding these helps contextualize business decisions within the broader economic environment.
Framework
IRON LAW: Leading, Coincident, or Lagging — Know Which Type
GDP growth is LAGGING — by the time it's published, the economy has already
changed. Stock markets and PMI are LEADING — they predict future direction.
Unemployment is LAGGING — it rises after a recession starts.
Using a lagging indicator to predict the future is looking in the rearview mirror.
Match the indicator type to your analysis purpose.
Apply action research through Plan-Act-Observe-Reflect cycles and Participatory Action Research (PAR) to generate knowledge while improving practice. Use this skill when the user needs to design practitioner research that integrates inquiry with intervention, facilitate participatory research with stakeholders, structure iterative improvement cycles, or when they ask 'how do I research my own practice', 'how do I involve participants as co-researchers', or 'how do I combine research with practic