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Get Started Free →Track legislation, regulatory actions, and legal developments affecting prediction markets, crypto, and AI agents. Per item: stage (Rumor / Proposed / Comment / Final / Enforced), impact (kills the category / structural change / disclosure burden / noise), affected protocols by name, and a concrete operator action. Use as pre-trade context on legally-wrapped assets. Triggers: "what's happening in crypto reg", "track CFTC actions", "prediction market regulation", "new SEC rules", "AI agent compli
| Test case | Without → With | Effect | Δ tokens | Δ turns |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| case-01 | ✗→✓ | ▲ Improved | -37% | 0% |
| case-03 | ✗→✓ | ▲ Improved | -22% | 0% |
| case-09 | ✗→✓ | ▲ Improved | -49% | 0% |
| case-10 | ✗→✓ | ▲ Improved | -29% | 0% |
| case-14 | ✗→✓ | ▲ Improved | -30% | 0% |
Regulatory intelligence for the stack pieces that get killed by a single rule change: prediction markets, agent-controlled wallets, stablecoins, MEV, AI compliance.
Federal Register, CFTC, SEC, FinCEN, EU Official Journal, ESMA, state AGs, court dockets via CourtListener. Industry counsel commentary as cross-reference only.
Items ranked by Stage × Impact. Final + Existential/High items lead. Rumor-stage items are included but visually separated.
FINAL × HIGH
CFTC no-action sunset for sports-event contracts — Mar 31
Affected: Kalshi sports markets, derived Polymarket clones
Action: unwind positions resolving after Mar 31 OR confirm continued no-action
Source: cftc.gov/PressReleases/...
COMMENT × HIGH
Treasury proposed rule on stablecoin reserve composition
Comment period closes Apr 14
Affected: USDC issuer reserve mix (commercial paper exposure)
Action: monitor; no immediate trade
RUMOR
ESMA reportedly weighing MiCAR Article-12 application to prediction markets
Single-source. Low confidence.
Action: no action yet — confirmation watch.Other measured skills in the registry, with their headline benchmark lift.