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Use when a 《经济学(季刊)》 (China Economic Quarterly, CEQ) manuscript has a credible main effect but the channel/mechanism is asserted rather than evidenced — to design tests that distinguish competing channels and provide falsifiable mechanism evidence. Use after identification is settled.
Passed 19 of 23 test cases with the skill, and 10 of 23 without it.
and 8 more in the full report
9 fixed10 passed either way4 still failing0 broke
Tokens, turns and time describe resource use, not a dollar price.
One of 9 test cases the skill fixed. Same model, same prompt, with and without the skill.
We are testing mechanism dosage response in a paper on subsidy intensity. We assumed a simple linear effect of subsidy amount without proving that intensity variation is exogenous or monotonic across subsidy brackets. Evaluate this setup using 【机制命题】, 【竞争渠道】, 【证据层级】, 【与主识别同源】, 【缺口】, and 【下一步】.
| Checked | Without skill | With skill |
|---|---|---|
| Requires justifying the exogenous variation source for dosage intensity. | Passed | Passed |
| Outputs ceq-figures in the 【下一步】 field. | Missed | Passed |
The instructions your model reads when the skill loads.
CEQ 不接受把"中介回归显著"当机制证明。机制证据要满足：
| 层级 | 做法 | CEQ 评价 |
|---|---|---|
| 弱 | 中介变量回归（Baron-Kenny 式） | 易被内生性击穿，不足以单独立机制 |
| 中 | 异质性切分印证机制（M 强的子样本效应更大） | 可信，但需理论先验 |
| 强 | 机制的可证伪含义在数据中验证 | CEQ 偏好 |
| 强 | 对机制变量本身用外生变异 / 子设计 | 最佳 |
ceq-inference）。ceq-figures）。test cases passed, vs 10 / 23 without
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