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What will competitors do? — Competitive method progress prediction and time window analysis
Passed 17 of 19 test cases with the skill, and 9 of 19 without it.
and 12 more in the full report
11 fixed9 passed either way1 still failing1 broke
Tokens, turns and time describe resource use, not a dollar price.
One of 8 test cases the skill fixed. Same model, same prompt, with and without the skill.
We are modeling 4 key competitors in AI-driven protein folding. What is the token budget allocated per competitor for the competitive move prediction step?
| Checked | Without skill | With skill |
|---|---|---|
| Allocates 10K tokens per competitor for move prediction. | Missed | Passed |
The instructions your model reads when the skill loads.
Competitive Intelligence Scenario Planning. Predict competitor progress, publication timelines, and methodological breakthroughs that could affect our research positioning. Assess time windows of opportunity and first-mover advantages.
Key principles:
Identify competitive drivers → spawn scenario-driver-identification
Predict competitor moves → spawn competitive-move-prediction (×3-5 competitors)
Project timelines → spawn timeline-projection
Assess impact → spawn scenario-impact-assessment (per competitive scenario)
Score robustness → spawn robustness-scoring
Synthesize → spawn scenario-synthesis
test cases passed, vs 9 / 19 without
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